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Long Shot Sat 30 May

Lottery ticket — big odds, low chance. Small stake, fun only.

Long Shot

Lottery ticket — big odds, low chance. Small stake, fun only.

Lottery ticket

Combined

175.5

Returns · 10

1755.0

Real chance

0.7%

A 2-leg long shot with combined odds of 175.5. Real chance of landing is 0.7% — this is a lottery ticket. Stake small, expect to lose, enjoy the ride if it lands.

HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn Win · 1xbet IFK Mariehamn Win: fair price is 12.899 (true chance 8%). 1xbet pays 13.5 — a +4.7% edge across 6 books.
13.5
SE Palmeiras SP vs Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC Win · 1xbet Chapecoense SC Win: fair price is 11.662 (true chance 9%). 1xbet pays 13.0 — a +11.5% edge across 6 books.
13.0

Why these legs

HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn

IFK Mariehamn Win at 13.5 with 1xbet

Pooling odds from 6 of our six books and stripping the 7.5% overround leaves a fair price of 12.899 — a true 7.8% chance. 1xbet is paying 13.5, which is a +4.7% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.

SE Palmeiras SP vs Chapecoense SC

Chapecoense SC Win at 13.0 with 1xbet

Pooling odds from 6 of our six books and stripping the 6.0% overround leaves a fair price of 11.662 — a true 8.6% chance. 1xbet is paying 13.0, which is a +11.5% edge over fair. That’s why this leg made the cut.