Market
Today
No. 07/17Goals

Over 3.5 goals in Kenya

Hamburger SV v Borussia Monchengladbach
Odds
31.20
Legs
3
Market chance
3.2%
First KO
Fri 19:30

For people who think 2-1 is a bit dull.

Four goals or more in every match.

Last updated from odds: Algorithmic selection. How it works.

No value claim

Fri 6 Nov to Sat 7 Nov

3 selections
Why these picks?

31.20 · bet365

First leg

Last leg kicks off · spans 2 calendar days

Market-implied estimate: 3.3%. Assumes independent match outcomes. Not a known true chance.

The selections

Market rules
  1. Bundesliga

    Hamburger SV v Borussia Monchengladbach

    Over 3.5 Goals

    3.00
    Why this pick?

    Over 3.5 Goals is quoted at 3.00 with bet365, against estimated fair odds of 2.883. It is included for this category's selection objective, not as a value claim.

    10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 14:37 UTC.

  2. Serie A

    Venezia FC v Udinese Calcio

    Over 3.5 Goals

    3.20
    Why this pick?

    Over 3.5 Goals is quoted at 3.20 with bet365, against estimated fair odds of 3.201. The quoted price does not beat the model's estimated fair price; this is a category-fit selection.

    10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 14:37 UTC.

  3. First Division A

    RAAL La Louviere v Cercle Brugge

    Over 3.5 Goals

    3.25
    Why this pick?

    Over 3.5 Goals is quoted at 3.25 with bet365, against estimated fair odds of 3.259. The quoted price does not beat the model's estimated fair price; this is a category-fit selection.

    9 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 14:37 UTC.

Why this acca?

These 3 selections fit this category at bet365. No positive price edge is claimed.

Every match needs four or more goals. The model ranks qualifying combinations by estimated edge.

Market-implied estimate: 3.3%. Assumes independent match outcomes. Not a known true chance.

What the model does not know
  • The model uses bookmaker prices, not team news, xG, form or line-ups.
  • An estimated edge is not a proven advantage or a promise of profit. Check the available price before betting.
  • The combined chance is a market-implied estimate and assumes the separate match outcomes are independent.

Mean decimal odds by outcome, then proportional margin removal from that consensus market.

Odds snapshot: Fri 6 Nov, 14:37 UTC. Model: decimal-mean-normalised-v1. Explanation: pick-evidence-v1.