Market
Today
No. 01/17Short odds

Short-odds acca

Valencia CF v Real Madrid
Odds
3.12
Legs
3
Market chance
32.1%
First KO
Sat 20:00

The cardigan of accas. Warm, sensible, slightly boring.

Shorter prices. Still no safe bets.

Last updated from odds: Algorithmic selection. How it works.

No value claim

Sat 7 Nov to Sun 8 Nov

3 selections
Why these picks?

3.12 · 1xBet

First leg

Last leg kicks off · spans 2 calendar days

Market-implied estimate: 31.3%. Assumes independent match outcomes. Not a known true chance.

The selections

Market rules
  1. LaLiga

    Valencia CF v Real Madrid

    Real Madrid Win

    1.33
    Why this pick?

    Real Madrid Win is quoted at 1.33 with 1xBet, against estimated fair odds of 1.346. The quoted price does not beat the model's estimated fair price; this is a category-fit selection.

    10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 14:37 UTC.

  2. Bundesliga

    SC Freiburg v Union Berlin

    SC Freiburg Win

    1.56
    Why this pick?

    SC Freiburg Win is quoted at 1.56 with 1xBet, against estimated fair odds of 1.576. The quoted price does not beat the model's estimated fair price; this is a category-fit selection.

    10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 14:37 UTC.

  3. LaLiga

    Villarreal CF v Getafe CF

    Villarreal CF Win

    1.50
    Why this pick?

    Villarreal CF Win is quoted at 1.50 with 1xBet, against estimated fair odds of 1.508. The quoted price does not beat the model's estimated fair price; this is a category-fit selection.

    10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 14:37 UTC.

Why this acca?

These 3 selections fit this category at 1xBet. No positive price edge is claimed.

The model starts with shorter-priced candidates, then ranks qualifying combinations by estimated edge. This is not a guarantee of lower risk.

Market-implied estimate: 31.3%. Assumes independent match outcomes. Not a known true chance.

What the model does not know
  • The model uses bookmaker prices, not team news, xG, form or line-ups.
  • An estimated edge is not a proven advantage or a promise of profit. Check the available price before betting.
  • The combined chance is a market-implied estimate and assumes the separate match outcomes are independent.

Mean decimal odds by outcome, then proportional margin removal from that consensus market.

Odds snapshot: Fri 6 Nov, 14:37 UTC. Model: decimal-mean-normalised-v1. Explanation: pick-evidence-v1.