Over 3.5 goals
- Odds
- 25.20
- Legs
- 3
- Market chance
- 4.0%
- First KO
- Fri 19:30
For people who think 2-1 is a bit dull.
For people who think 2-1 is a bit dull.
Four goals or more in every match.
Last updated from odds: Algorithmic selection. How it works.
Fri 6 Nov
3 selections25.20 · bet365
Last leg kicks off
Market-implied estimate: 4.2%. Assumes independent match outcomes. Not a known true chance.
Hamburger SV v
Borussia Monchengladbach
Over 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals is quoted at 3.00 with bet365, against estimated fair odds of 2.970. The estimated price edge is +1.02%.
10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 16:37 UTC.
Venezia FC v
Udinese Calcio
Over 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals is quoted at 3.20 with bet365, against estimated fair odds of 3.124. The estimated price edge is +2.42%.
10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 16:37 UTC.
Toulouse FC v
Strasbourg Alsace
Over 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals is quoted at 2.62 with bet365, against estimated fair odds of 2.584. The estimated price edge is +1.58%.
10 bookmaker outcome quotes. Snapshot 16:37 UTC.
All 3 legs clear the 1% estimated edge threshold at bet365, but at least one is below 5%. This is a slim-edge pick, not a strict Value qualifier.
Every match needs four or more goals. The model ranks qualifying combinations by estimated edge.
Combined estimated edge: +5.11%. This does not upgrade the per-leg badge.
Market-implied estimate: 4.2%. Assumes independent match outcomes. Not a known true chance.
Mean decimal odds by outcome, then proportional margin removal from that consensus market.
Decimal odds at the saved snapshot. Estimated edge = (offered odds × estimated probability − 1) × 100%.
| Selection | Offered | Est. fair | Est. edge | Quotes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV vs Borussia MonchengladbachOver 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.970 | +1.02% | 10 |
| Venezia FC vs Udinese CalcioOver 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.124 | +2.42% | 10 |
| Toulouse FC vs Strasbourg AlsaceOver 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.584 | +1.58% | 10 |
Quote count is bookmaker coverage for the outcome, not a confidence score. Each outcome's decimal prices are averaged before the consensus market is normalised.
Odds snapshot: Fri 6 Nov, 16:37 UTC. Model: decimal-mean-normalised-v1. Explanation: pick-evidence-v1.